Congress Trades, AI Infrastructure, and the 2025 Copy-Trading Playbook

What the congressional disclosures actually show

A concentrated “LEAPS day” (Jan 14, 2025).Nancy Pelosi disclosed buying 50 call contracts each in Amazon (AMZN) and Alphabet (GOOGL) with $150 strikes expiring Jan 16, 2026, alongside Tempus AI (TEM) $20 calls and Vistra (VST) $50 calls on the same date. This is a rare, multi-name, same-day alignment across cloud/AI and power.

Catalyst-adjacent exercises/trims (late Dec 2024).She exercised NVDA calls on Dec 20, 2024 (500 contracts originally purchased 11/22/23), then disclosed partial year-end sales in AAPL (31,600 shares) and NVDA (10,000 shares) on Dec 31, 2024, a pattern consistent with option monetization and risk rebalancing into year-end. She also exercised PANW calls (14,000 shares) on Dec 20, 2024.

Follow-on activity (June 20, 2025).A disclosure notes an AVGO call exercise and a separate sale in a Matthews international fund (realizing a loss), underscoring that the portfolio isn’t purely tech momentum; it actively rotates capital.

Other Members’ signals. Debbie Wasserman Schultz’s 2025 flow skews smaller: an HURC IPO buy (Feb 6), a fast ANGO buy (June 27) and sell (July 16), plus a VSAT sale (July 18). The quick ANGO round-trip reads like a catalyst-driven swing.

Why these sectors? The fundamentals backdrop

The disclosures cluster around AI compute, cloud, cybersecurity, and AI-driven health, with power/utility exposure via VST. Recent fundamentals in these names, while varied, generally validate the thesis:

• NVDA has reported powerful operating cash flow and free cash flow in recent periods (strong cash generation against rising revenue/OP).

• GOOGL shows substantial operating income and free cash flow alongside elevated capex (AI/datacenter build-out).

• PANW has consistently posted robust OCF/FCF, signaling durable security demand and subscription quality.

• VST (power) reflects the grid/AI demand story but has mixed near-term FCF in 2025 prints-important for entry timing.

• TEM remains early-stage with negative earnings/FCF; if you follow this, treat it as a high-beta satellite, not a core.

• HURC has posted positive operating cash flow despite net losses-classic small-cap industrial setup for tactical trades.

• ANGO fundamentals in recent filings have been loss-making/negative OCF across several past periods-consistent with DWS’s short swing and the need for tight risk.

  
  

The copy-trading strategy (how to express the view)

1) Core basket: AI infra & cloud

• AMZN (AWS), GOOGL (Cloud/Ads), NVDA (Compute), PANW (Security).

• Expression: LEAPS (9-15 months out), laddered strikes near 0.20-0.35 delta; add calendars around earnings to finance roll-ups.

• Use pullbacks into rising 50/100-DMA zones or post-earnings “gap-and-base” patterns for entries (Pelosi’s alignment with LEAPS implies a medium-term horizon).

2) Power beneficiary (VST)

• Treat as a pro-cyclical AI-demand derivative with more balance-sheet/capex noise. Scale in only on factor drawdowns; avoid chasing breakouts if FCF is soft.

3) Speculative satellite (TEM)

• Position small, time-box it, and consider spreads (debit or broken wing) to cap risk given negative FCF/earnings.

4) Tactical swings (ANGO/HURC)

• Follow catalysts (FDA/earnings/orders). Keep stops tight and position sizes small; DWS’s short ANGO hold supports a “hit-and-run” approach.

  
  

Timing tells to watch (and copy)

• Clustered trade days (e.g., Jan 14, 2025) across multiple AI names → build initial positions, then add on confirmation.

• Option exercises into year-end / pre-earnings (NVDA, PANW) → expect profit-taking volatility; buy quality names on controlled pullbacks rather than into spikes.

• Short holding windows by other members (e.g., ANGO) → treat as swing-trade signals, not long-term endorsements.

  
  

Risk controls that fit this flow

• Sizing: Core (AMZN/GOOGL/NVDA/PANW) 70–80% of risk; satellites (VST/TEM/ANGO/HURC) the remainder.

• Structures: Favor spreads (LEAPS verticals/calendars) to reduce theta and cap downside.

• Exits: Pre-plan trims at +30-50% on options; roll winners 60-90 days before expiry.

• Event discipline: No adding within 24-48h pre-earnings unless it’s a defined spread.

  
  

Data & method

This post is built directly from the user-provided member trade disclosures (transactions dated Dec 2024–Aug 2025 for Nancy Pelosi and Debbie Wasserman Schultz) and a companion fundamentals/XBRL extract for the named tickers.

TL;DR: The latest House disclosures show heavy, coordinated bets on AI infrastructure and cloud, via long-dated call options in AMZN, GOOGL, NVDA, TEM, and VST, plus year-end trims and option exercises in AAPL, NVDA, and PANW. If you copy-trade this flow, focus on AI compute + power, use LEAPS with staggered strikes, and pair momentum entries with disciplined exits around earnings/catalysts.